Growing Up Overnight
A look at the past few years of LLM progress.
AI Isn’t Coming for Tech Jobs—Yet
LLMs can make a developer’s job easier and faster. When might they make them obsolete?
Crash Testing GPT-4
Can we tell if an AI model is safe before it’s released? The group that tested GPT–4 is trying to figure out how.
What We Get Wrong About AI & China
Everyone’s afraid of what China can and will do with AI. On the ground, the picture looks a lot more complicated.
A Field Guide to AI Safety
AI safety is starting to go mainstream, but the researchers who’ve been immersed in it for over a decade still have strong disagreements.
Through a Glass Darkly
Nobody predicted the AI revolution, except for the 352 experts who were asked to predict it.
How Long Until Armageddon?
Scientists, generals, and politicians all failed to accurately predict when the Soviets would get the bomb. Could they have done any better?
Are We Smart Enough to Know How Smart AIs Are?
Scientists have repeatedly failed to recognize the complexity of animal cognition. Will we make the same mistakes with AI?
How We Can Regulate AI
The chips used to train the most advanced AIs are scarce, expensive, and trackable — giving regulators a path forward.
The Transistor Cliff
Moore’s law may be coming to an end. What happens to AI progress if it does?
The Puzzle of Non-Proliferation
Today, only nine countries have nuclear weapons. That outcome was hardly inevitable, and the story of how we arrived there holds important lessons for AI.
The Great Inflection? A Debate About AI and Explosive Growth
Matt Clancy Tamay Besiroglu
A conversation about what happens to the economy when intelligence becomes too cheap to meter.
Emotional Intelligence Amplification
Love in the time of chatbots.
Will AI cause an economic explosion? Can animals teach us about LLMs? Chip tracking. Crash testing. Why we’re wrong about China. What does “AI safety” even mean? Lessons from nuclear proliferation. Love in the time of chatbots. When job losses might begin, when Moore’s law might end, and why we try to predict the future.